2022 zoweta PVC msika njira pansi, chaka chino kunyamula manja m'thumba sindikudziwa amene ali mdani, makamaka kuyambira chiyambi cha June mu theka lachiwiri la chaka anasonyeza thanthwe mtundu kuchepa, mizinda iwiri ikugwa mosalekeza. .Malingana ndi tchati chamakono, mitengo yamakono ya mizinda iwiriyi mu Januwale ikhoza kusonyezabe funde loyamba la kukwera kwa chaka chino, mitengo ya February ndi March inayamba kugwa ndipo kenako inanyamuka, mpaka kumayambiriro kwa April, mitengo ya mizinda iwiriyi inayamba. kuwonetsa pachimake, pomwe nsonga yapachaka yamtsogolo inali 9529, malo okwera mtengo wa calcium carbide adalowererapo pakati pa 9250 ndi 9450. Njira ya ethylene kulowererapo kwakukulu pakati pa 9600-9730.Komabe, chikhalidwe champhamvu sichinapitirire mu gawo lachiwiri, kuyambira kutsika pang'onopang'ono kumapeto kwa April, May komanso zovuta kubwezeretsa ntchito.June mpaka July anayamba kusonyeza kuchepa kwakukulu, msika unagwa, ngakhale kuti pakati ndi kumapeto kwa July kukonzanso msika, koma potsirizira pake sanathe kusintha mkhalidwe wofooka.Kuyambira mu Ogasiti mpaka Disembala, msika ukugwedezekabe nthawi zonse.Pofika tsiku la atolankhani, wotumiza ngakhale wotsika kwambiri 5484, wokwera komanso wotsika mtengo kusiyana ndi 4045 points.Ndipo malo akutsika pakati pa 3400-3700.Panali chizolowezi chotsika mu Novembala-December, koma mphamvu ya rebound idakali yofooka poyerekeza ndi kuchepa kwapachaka.Tiyeni tiwone momwe zinthu za 2022 zimakhudzira:
Choyamba, zinthu zabwino mu gawo loyamba lokwera kuyambira Januwale mpaka Marichi: 1. Choyamba, mu gawo loyamba lokwera, ndondomeko yazachuma yapakhomo inali yosalekeza m'gawo loyamba, ndipo ndondomeko yabwino ya macro nthawi zambiri inayambitsa ndondomeko zogulitsira malonda.Makamaka, gawo lalikulu la zomangamanga linali logwira ntchito ndipo linadziwika bwino m'gawo loyamba, ndipo mitengo yazinthu zogulitsa nyumba ndi mitundu yokhudzana ndi zam'tsogolo ikukwera.Ndipo imakhudzidwanso ndi kukwera kwakukulu kwa 2021. 2. Mbale yakunja imakhudzidwa ndi kuzizira kwachisanu, ndipo gawo la chlor-alkali la Formosa USA likumangidwa ku Texas chifukwa cha kusowa kwa magetsi.Kumayambiriro kwa Marichi, kuphulika kwakukulu kwa magetsi kunachitika ku Taiwan popanda chenjezo.Atakhudzidwa ndi kuzimitsidwa, Huaxia Plastics yaku Taiwan, China motsatizana inachepetsa katundu wake ndikuyima kudikirira kukonzanso magetsi.3. Mafuta akuda adakwera kwambiri.Kuyambira pa February 11, 2022, nkhawa zadziko lapansi zidayamba kukulirakulira, ndipo nkhondo idayamba, mafuta amafuta adakwera kwambiri.Mitengo yamafuta yafika pamlingo wapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira 2008. Marichi 7, 2022: M'tsogolomu ya WTI ya US idayandikira kwambiri pazaka zopitilira 13, kugulitsa mwachidule $130.00 pa mbiya.Epulo WTI adakwera $ 3.72 kuti akhazikitse $119.40 mbiya pa New York Mercantile Exchange, malo okhala kwambiri kuyambira Seputembara 2008, atakwera mpaka $130.50.ICE May Brent crude idakwera $ 5.10 kuti ikhazikike pa $ 123.21 mbiya, yomwe idakhazikika kwambiri kuyambira Epulo 2012, itakwera mpaka $139.13.
Pambuyo pake, mizinda iwiriyi inayamba kuchepa kuyambira pachimake cha zinthu zoipa: 1. Ikani pambali kukwera kwakukulu mu 2021, ndi kusintha kwa zinthu zomwe zimakhudzidwa, msika wa PVC udzabwerera kuntchito yabwino mu 2022. Komabe, chifukwa cha Kukwera kwamafuta osakanizika mu mbale ya plasticizing, polyolefin ili ndi zoyambira zamphamvu kuposa PVC, ndipo phindu la chinthu chimodzi cha PVC sizoyipa, chifukwa chake amasankhidwa ngati chinthu chogawa mpweya.Ndipo m'kupita kwa nthawi pakati ndi kumapeto kwa kotala yachiwiri ndi kotala lachitatu ndi zoonekeratu makamaka, kugawa kwanthawi yaitali opanda kanthu kwa PVC ku msika wa malo kunayambitsanso kupsyinjika kwakukulu, malo akuluakulu a mgwirizano mu poto anafika pamwamba kwambiri. 940,000 manja.2. Kugwira ntchito kwa deta yogulitsa nyumba sikuli bwino, makamaka pambuyo pa kutulutsidwa kwa deta ya theka loyamba la chaka, deta yonse inakana kwambiri chaka ndi chaka, katundu wa katundu wa katundu wa gulu, PVC anataya kwambiri.3. Pakati pa zinthu ziwiri zazikulu zamabizinesi a chlor-alkali, soda ya caustic inayamba kukwera mu 2022, ndipo mtengo wamtengo wa chinthu chimodzi unafika mpaka 5,000-5,500 yuan/ton.Kupindula kwakukulu kwa soda ya caustic kunachititsa kuti phindu lonse la chlor-alkali lipezeke, ndipo phindu lonse la chlor-alkali linakhala cholinga chachikulu chopondereza PVC.4. Ndalamazo zinapitirizabe kukweza chiwongoladzanja mwachiwawa, kukweza mitengo ndi mfundo za 25 pa March 17, mfundo 50 pa May 5, ndi mfundo za 75 patsiku pa June 16, July 28, September 22, ndi November 3, kubweretsa chiwerengero cha benchmark. 3.75-4%.5. Mantha a kugwa kwachuma akupitilirabe kunja.6. Pankhani ya PVC yopereka ndi kufunikira, kuperekedwa kwakhala pamlingo wapamwamba.Ngakhale pakhala pali vuto linalake lochepetsera chiopsezo mu theka lachiwiri la chaka chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa msika, zomangamanga zonse zikadali zazikulu, zoperekera ndizochuluka ndipo kufunikira kumachepa, ndipo zofuna zapakhomo zayimitsidwa kwamuyaya kuyambira pamene chipwirikiti chinayamba. za mliri ku Shanghai mu Epulo.PVC kugula pansi musagule, zofuna zongopeka sizikwanira chaka chonse, zowerengera zamagulu sizingakhale zowonongeka.7. Mtengo wa PVC wakunja ukutsika, kupondereza mtengo wapamwamba wa PVC wapakhomo, ndipo voliyumu yotumiza kunja imakhala yofooka mu theka lachiwiri la chaka.
Msika wonse mu 2022 umakhala wofooka kwambiri, kuchokera ku kupezeka ndi kufunikira, mtengo, malingaliro azinthu, mfundo, malonda akunja ndi zina sizingathe kupereka chithandizo chabwino, ndipo zoyipa zimangokulirakulira, zomwe zimatsogolera kumitengo yamisika iwiriyi. kugwa mosalekeza.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jan-07-2023